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The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. ? [LINK]This is a discussion on The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. ? [LINK] within the Prediction Markets News Feeds forums, part of the Forecasting Special Interest Group category; Emile Servan-Schreiber : - Over the long run and many predictions, markets outperform most individuals; - The more participants there are in a market, the more accurate it is (although ... |
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10th January 2012, 01:56 AM
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| Administrator |  The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. ? [LINK] Emile Servan-Schreiber: - Over the long run and many predictions, markets outperform most individuals; - The more participants there are in a market, the more accurate it is (although there are diminishing returns); - The more participants there are in a market, the fewer individuals are able to outperform its accuracy. Read the rest, and subscribe to his new blog. More from the Midas Oracle Group Blog... |
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