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Comment on New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008.

This is a discussion on Comment on New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. within the Prediction Markets News Feeds forums, part of the Forecasting Special Interest Group category; Oh Chris, have I taught you nothing? So far as we know (even though we don’t), those markets were perfectly accurate. Of course, it meant that Hillary is not likely ...


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Old 11th January 2012, 05:18 AM   #1
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Default Comment on New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008.

Oh Chris, have I taught you nothing? So far as we know (even though we don’t), those markets were perfectly accurate. Of course, it meant that Hillary is not likely to win again in the next 249 or so primaries (though she might, still).

I’m surprised I got in ahead of Panos in making this comment.



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